William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

HOME      ABOUT     CONTACT 

 

 

 

 

GOP RACE NARROWS IN NEW FOX POLL – AT 9:10 A.M. ET:  And other surprises.  From Fox:

The Republican field has narrowed and so has the race for the party’s nomination: front-runner Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are within the margin of error in a new Fox News national poll on the 2016 election.

Trump remains in the top spot with 41 percent support among GOP primary voters, while Cruz has 38 percent. John Kasich gets 17 percent.

Since mid-February, support for both Cruz and Kasich has doubled, and support for Trump is up five points. Of course in the meantime, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, and Marco Rubio dropped out of the race.

The odds are still against Cruz, especially with Kasich remaining in the race, but Cruz's rise is dramatic.  Look, you never know. 

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton receives 55 percent support for the nomination among Democratic primary voters, while Bernie Sanders gets 42 percent. That’s a change from last month when Sanders held a three-point edge nationally after his dominant New Hampshire primary win.

Fifty-six percent of GOP primary voters are “extremely” interested in the presidential election. Just 43 percent of Democratic primary voters feel that way.

COMMENT:  I don't see any great surge for Sanders.  He still has a bloc of fanatically loyal supporters, especially on the left and among the young.  There is little enthusiasm for Clinton, but she keeps drawing on party loyalty and Democratic Party rules, which tilt in her favor, and will very probably get the nomination, unless the FBI probe brings her down.

March 24,  2016